The ultimate Karnataka results checklist

What are the key issues & constituencies you need to watch out for when the Karnataka election results are announced tomorrow? Here is a definitive list that will help you stay on top the trends

Here’s a checklist of issues you need to remember as you watch the Karnataka election results unfold tomorrow. We are looking at results in 222 out of 224 Assembly seats across five culturally diverse regions in Karnataka. Two seats have been countermanded. A party will need 112 to get simple majority to rule:

  1. Did the Lingayat separate religion issue have any effect on the electorate? Did it help the Congress or affect them, especially in the Hyderabad-Karnataka and Mumbai-Karnataka region?
  2. Did Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s 21 rallies have any impact? Has Amit Shah’s strategy made a difference?
  3. Did the Mahadayi river water sharing issue adversely affect the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP)?
  4. Did the Vokkaligas vote for the Janata Dal (Secular) (JD (S)), and did only the Vokkaligas vote for the JD (S)?
  5. Has the JD(S) made its presence felt in North Karnataka seats?
  6. Has the JD(S) transferred votes to the BJP or the Bahujan Samaj Party in constituencies where they are not contesting or are weak?
  7. Did B Sriramulu help to consolidate the tribal Valmiki vote for the BJP?
  8. Did Rahul Gandhi’s temple, dargah, as well as dabha visits help the Congress?
  9. Did rural folk, especially rural women, stand by Siddaramaiah‘s social welfare schemes? Also, has the farm loan waiver helped?
  10. How many independents are winning across the state?
  11. How are MB Patil (Babaleshwar) and Vinay Kulkarni (Dharwad) performing in their respective constituencies? The duo had championed the Lingayat separate religion cause.
  12. Has the communally volatile Dakshina Kannada district voted for the BJP?
  13. Is Siddaramaiah winning both his seats? What’s the margin of victory or loss?
  14. Is HD Kumaraswamy winning both his seats (Channapatna, Ramanagara)?
  15. Is Sriramulu winning both his seats (Molakalmuru, Badami)?
  16. Has Siddaramaiah’s son got through in Varuna?
  17. What’s the margin of victory in Shikaripura for Yeddyurappa?
  18. Is the Karnataka Pradesh Congress Committee President G Parameshwar winning the Koratagere seat this time?
  19. What’s the margin of victory for HD Deve Gowda’s eldest son HD Revanna in Holenaraispura?
  20. Has the BSP made any difference to the JD(S) vote share?
  21. Have the minorities stuck to the Congress alone or are they patronizing the JD(S) as well?
  22. Is the high turnout helping the Congress or the BJP or the JD(S)?
  23. Are the Dalits going with one single party or are they divided?
  24. Is there a reverse consolidation of backward class votes in favour of Siddaramaiah?
  25. Have the Lingayats stood by BS Yeddyurappa and BJP?
  26. Has the re-entry of Reddy brothers helped the BJP in Bellary and surrounding districts, or has it put off its educated and urban voters?
  27. How is Karwar district, which is the controversial Union Minister Ananth Kumar Hegde’s home district, performing?
  28. What’s going to happen in Bangalore where the turnout was low? Is this going to benefit the Congress or the BJP?
  29. Is Yeddyurappa’s long-time-associate-turned-bitter-critic within the BJP, Eshwarappa, winning the Shimoga City seat?
  30. Will the former BJP chief minister Jagadish Shettar be able to retain his Dharwad Central seat?
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